Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.005799 0.006444 0.007145 0.007966 0.008902 0.009941 0.011185
2025-06-22 0.004893 0.005804 0.006875 0.008238 0.009939 0.012012 0.014758
2025-06-29 0.004210 0.005204 0.006434 0.008085 0.010275 0.013121 0.017169
2025-07-06 0.003715 0.004742 0.006063 0.007917 0.010497 0.014033 0.019375
2025-07-13 0.003389 0.004446 0.005854 0.007905 0.010887 0.015174 0.022021
2025-07-20 0.003192 0.004294 0.005809 0.008096 0.011560 0.016777 0.025571
2025-07-27 0.002950 0.004053 0.005609 0.008030 0.011827 0.017780 0.028309
2025-08-03 0.002761 0.003867 0.005466 0.008026 0.012174 0.018933 0.031456
2025-08-10 0.002574 0.003667 0.005282 0.007932 0.012358 0.019824 0.034268
2025-08-17 0.002442 0.003538 0.005192 0.007973 0.012759 0.021124 0.038037
2025-08-24 0.002294 0.003371 0.005027 0.007874 0.012904 0.021978 0.041075
2025-08-31 0.002130 0.003168 0.004790 0.007630 0.012762 0.022279 0.043025
2025-09-07 0.002027 0.003060 0.004706 0.007655 0.013140 0.023669 0.047680
2025-09-14 0.001975 0.003033 0.004753 0.007918 0.013997 0.026140 0.055331
2025-09-21 0.001856 0.002884 0.004584 0.007772 0.014046 0.026965 0.059307
2025-09-28 0.001744 0.002742 0.004416 0.007612 0.014046 0.027679 0.063164
2025-10-05 0.001667 0.002653 0.004332 0.007601 0.014345 0.029092 0.069164
2025-10-12 0.001626 0.002622 0.004348 0.007783 0.015070 0.031580 0.078738
2025-10-19 0.001552 0.002529 0.004245 0.007720 0.015257 0.032832 0.085123
2025-10-26 0.001492 0.002456 0.004175 0.007716 0.015571 0.034444 0.093047
2025-11-02 0.001425 0.002367 0.004069 0.007627 0.015682 0.035559 0.099723
2025-11-09 0.001378 0.002314 0.004025 0.007665 0.016095 0.037526 0.109835
2025-11-16 0.001319 0.002233 0.003924 0.007571 0.016179 0.038626 0.117298